NFL Week 18 picks best bets Bills cover from seestyle's blog

Welcome to the final week of the regular season. First of all, thanks for following along this year. Hopefully we won you some money, or at the very least gave you some food for thought on your picks. Gambling pays my internet bill, but not my mortgage. It's more for fun than anything. With that being said, this is the WORST week to throw money on the NFL.It's difficult to gue s which Malcolm Brogdon Jersey teams with nothing to gain or lose will show up, and which one's won't. Plus, for the teams that are starting their starters when they don't need to start their starters, will those starters play the whole game, or just the first half?Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 39-44-1Overall ATS record: 125-123-7Straight up record: 166-87-2 Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns Moneyline Spread Total PIT CLE This is a must-win game for the Steelers. With a win and lo ses from the and , the Steelers would be in the playoffs. The key stats here are that the Steelers have won 18 straight regular-season home games vs. the Browns, and that Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season. At 8-8, the Steelers need a win to keep that streak alive.I think it's pretty impre sive that the Steelers have overcome seven-point deficits in the fourth quarter in each of their past two games. has some more steps he needs to Cameron Reynolds Jersey take in his development, but he's been clutch late in games. With the number being this low, I'm just going to lay it.The pick:Steelers -2.5Projected score: Steelers 23-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Moneyline Spread Total CHI MIN There are two reasons why I like the Vikings here: Minnesota will absolutely want to rebound after that terrible lo s to the , and is starting for the Bears with shut down for the year. Making the Vikings a best bet hasn't exactly worked out for me this year, but they are better ATS than the Bears, and I mean, c'mon. Fields has been Chicago's entire offense this season. If Peterman keeps it close with the Vikings this weekend, taking Minnesota to lose in the first round of the playoffs will be a trendy pick.The Milwaukee Bucks T-Shirts pick:Vikings -7.5Projected score:Vikings 27-16Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Moneyline Spread Total BUF NE This is of course going to be an emotional matchup after what the Bills players had to endure Monday night. Ultimately, I think they try to go win this game for , as opposed to falling apart in front of their home fans. The Patriots have all the motivation in the world to go earn a victory, but they are 0-4 against current playoff teams, and have allowed 29 points per game in those matchups.The Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games, and have what is statistically the seventh-worst offense in the . The and are racking up more yards per game than . I'll take Buffalo to cover in a special game. The pick:Bills -7Projected score:Bills 28-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Moneyline Spread Total CIN BAL The unfortunate circumstances on Monday night gave the Bengals a bit of extra time off, although the team went through what wasn't exactly a pleasurable experience. But and the boys don't have to travel this week, and they host a Ravens team that hasn't earned an impre sive win in months.Since left in Week 13, Baltimore has averaged just 11.8 points per game. The defense has been great with Jackson out, but it's notable that the Ravens haven't scored more than 17 points since Nov. 27. Maybe Jackson returns this week, but he mi sed practice yet again on Wednesday.The Bengals have won and covered in seven straight games since losing to the Browns in Week 8, and are an incredible 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games played! Why would I bet against them now in an important Kyle Korver Jersey divisional matchup at home? The pick:Bengals -7Projected score:Bengals 20-10Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total WAS DAL Ron Rivera has succe sfully rattled everyone. From sabotaging the Commanders' entire season by starting in a must-win game, to sarcastically acting like he didn't know Washington's postseason hypotheticals, everything has gone wrong for the Commanders. Now, to finish out the season, we will get our first look at rookie quarterback .The UNC product showed in the preseason he has some juice, but he's still a rookie making his first career start against a tenacious pa s rush. The Cowboys offense has also been on fire, as and Co. are averaging 35.1 points per game over the last 10 contests. That's 5.7 more points per game than any other team in that span. I get that this Bobby Portis Jersey game is risky if Dallas ends up benching its starters late, but betting any game in Week 18 is risky if you haven't noticed.The pick:Cowboys -7Projected score: Cowboys 30-20 27-21 over (+9.5) 24-23 over (+6) (-1) 26-23 over Dolphins 17-14 over (+3.5) (-4) 26-20 over (-2.5) 13-10 over 27-16 over (+14) (-6.5) 28-21 over 23-13 over Cardinals (+14.5)Broncos (-2) 21-16 over Packers 28-24 over (+4.5)

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By seestyle
Added Mar 13 '23

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